Thursday, September 4, 2008

Braves SP dERA Analysis

Braves starters and their ERA/dERA difference:

Pitcher
GS
ERA
dERA
DIFF
Jurrjens
27
3.59
3.57
+ 0.02
Hudson
22
3.19
3.83
- 0.64
Campillo
21
4.12
3.81
+ 0.31
Reyes
18
5.17
4.26
+ 0.91
Morton
15
6.32
4.89
+ 1.43
Glavine
13
5.54
5.99
- 0.45
Hampton
8
5.67
4.64
+ 1.03
James
7
9.10
7.60
+ 1.50
Smoltz
5
2.00
2.35
- 0.35
Bennett
4
6.48
5.12
+ 1.36

No surprise Jurrjens has been the only one to really live up their own potential and not let the game behind him effect his composure. Also no real surprise Hampton, Reyes and Morton have been hurt so much by the defense behind them because they've been starting in the second half with a horrible defense behind them. The opposite can be said for the positive influence the defense had on the numbers of Hudson, Glavine and Smoltz.

Need proof?

First half ERA/dERA difference: -0.06
Second half ERA/dERA difference: +1.96

Considering the league average difference for starters right now is at +0.24, both of those numbers are almost lying on the extreme ends of the spectrum.

Needless to say, the team is certainly suffering from the loss of Teixeira and the addition of Prado and Infante on a daily basis.

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