Friday, July 11, 2008

Ranking the Rotations

Now that we've entered July, it's time for things to start getting serious. As the Brewers and Cubs have showed us in the past week, you can only go so far as your rotation allows you, specifically the front-end. Sure, the guys at the back of the rotation are important, but unless you have three horses at the front, to go against the best the other contenders have to offer in head-to-head match-ups, the likelihood of your playing in October aren't going to be great.

Since the wildcard era saw it's first playoff season in 1995, no team that has been more than nine games out of either first place in their division or for the wildcard has made the playoffs. So, with the seven teams out of the way who do not qualify -- Toronto, Kansas City, Cleveland, Seattle, Washington, Houston and San Diego -- I've taken a look at the front three starting pitchers in each of the rotations of the 23 teams who still have a shot at the playoffs. Yeah, some of those teams (Pittsburgh, Baltimore) may not have a chance at post-season baseball, but based on the past thirteen seasons, they aren't exactly eliminated from contention just yet.

What I've done is, for each league, I've ranked the qualifying pitchers best to worst. From there, I determined the average rank of the pitchers for each team. And here are the results:

American League

RankTeamPitchers
(1)Tampa Bay
Shields, Garza, Kazmir
(2)Boston
Beckett, Matsuzaka, Lester
(3)Los Angeles
Lackey, Weaver, Garland
(4)Oakland
Blanton, Buchscerer, Eveland
(5)Chicago
Buerhle, Vazquez, Danks
(6)New York
Pettite, Mussina, Chamberlain
(7)Detroit
Verlander, Rogers, Galarraga
(8)Minnesota
Hernandez, Blackburn, Baker
(9)Texas
Millwood, Feldman, Harrison
(10)Baltimore
Guthrie, Cabrera, Burres

National League

RankTeamPitchers
(1)Chicago
Zambrano, Harden, Dempster
(2)Arizona
Webb, Haren, Davis
(3)Milwaukee
Sheets, Sabathia, Parra
(4)Philadelphia
Hamels, Moyer, Kendrick
(5)Los Angeles
Lowe, Billingsley, Kuroda
(6)New York
Santana, Maine, Perez
(7)Atlanta
Hudson, Jurrjens, Reyes
(8)Cincinnati
Harang, Volquez, Cueto
(9)San Francisco
Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez
(10)Florida
Nolasco, Miller, Olsen
(11)
St. Louis
Lohse, Looper, Wellemeyer
(12)
Pittsburgh
Snell, Duke, Malholm
(13)
Colorado
Cook, Jimenez, De la Rosa

So, there you have it.

I may take this a step further in the next few days and apply it to the heard of the lineup.

Until then, I've also got the third installment of my Braves' State of the Organization series still to come.

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