Monday, June 2, 2008

Looking at Some Past Predictions

So, apparently there was a bit of a hot topic in tonight's gamethread about how a certain someone (re: me) has made some rather outlandish (and seemingly) incorrect predictions lately. Hrm, let's tale a look...

Final round of cuts: "Translation: Expect a lot of one-run losses."

Oh. Well. Wonder how that turned out?

2008 Baseball Predictions: "Prediction: Colorado doesn't win 70 games."

Currently on pace for 57...

Pre-Season Power Rankings: (16) Tampa Bay Rays, (19) Seattle Mariners, (30) Colorado Rockies

Took a beating for each of those..

Glavine???: 6.10 IP/GS, 1.40 WHIP, 4.47 K/9, 4.51 ERA

Actual: 5.7 IP/GS (not counting the Nats game), 1.46 WHIP, 5.08 K/9, 4.56 ERA

Braves Trade Joey Devine to Oakland for Mark and Jamie Kotsay: Expected Runs Scored: 763 runs

Current projection: 765 runs

Sorting Out the Pitching Staff: Expected Runs Allowed: 689 runs

Current projection: 624 runs (a difference of 0.4 runs per game)

Rounding out the Lineup, Pt. 3:

(1) Escobar: 751 OPS

Actual: 758 OPS

(2) Mark Teixeira: .275 / .360 / .525 - .885 OPS

Actual: .276 / .363 / 467 - .831 OPS

(3) Jeff Francoeur: .777 OPS

Actual: .742 OPS

So, yeah.

Did I royally screw on the Zito prediction? Definitely. But I think the above kinda makes up for it...

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